Feb 27 2008

Examining A New National Poll

Published by Adam at 6:40 pm under 2008 Presidential Election, Barack Obama, John McCain, Polls

I just saw on CNN’s Situation Room that John McCain is actually slightly ahead of Barack Obama in a new L.A. Times/Bloomberg poll–by two points, definitely within the margin of error.

First off, this is the first time I’ve seen McCain ahead of Obama in an eternity. But that isn’t the point.

The point is that McCain likely has a few advantages in this poll. For all intents and purposes, McCain is the GOP nominee. Obama is not quite there yet on the Democratic side. Additionally, Democratic-to-Republican turnout has been at least 2-to-1 so far during the primary season. Did this poll take that into account? I doubt it. I, for one, am certain Dems are fired up to vote come this November. Yes, much more fired up than Republicans. Also, most voters still know McCain better. That will change.

Because of the aforementioned factors, I’m not the slightest bit worried about this latest poll.

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